Nate Silver – FiveThirtyEight
WEBApr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
WEB1 day ago · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
WEB2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Sort by date. Added. Surveyed.
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It ...
WEBNov 8, 2022 · The Senate is more competitive. By Nate Silver. Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 ...
About Us - FiveThirtyEight
WEBFiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
2020 Election Forecast - FiveThirtyEight
WEBNov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine ...
WEBNov 3, 2020 · Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine Line Between A Landslide And A Nail-Biter. By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT ...
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Forecasts Did And What We’ll Be …
WEBJun 8, 2021 · By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. Welcome to the latest installment of what we’re hoping to make a biennial practice: an after-action ...
The 3 Big Questions I Still Have About Election Day
WEBNov 7, 2022 · Most Americans have given up on COVID-19 precautions, there have been no late-breaking news events with obvious electoral implications, and Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot.
Republicans Shouldn’t Assume Roy Moore Was An Outlier
WEBDec 13, 2017 · Republicans Shouldn’t Assume Roy Moore Was An Outlier. Alabama is more evidence that the GOP needs to be worried about 2018. By Nate Silver. Filed under Special Elections. Roy Moore waits to ...