The 1 p.m. Friday, July 4, 2025, tropics advisory from the National Hurricane Center in Miami shows a tropical system with formation possible over the next 48 hours or within seven days at 70 percent.

The chance of a tropical system developing on July 4th continue to increase, but there's a silver lining. The tropical system has a 60% chance for development over the next seven days and a 20% chance over the next 48 hours.