The Denver Nuggets had a highly improbable comeback win versus the Oklahoma City Thunder during the first game of the Western Conference semifinals. Oklahoma City held a lead as large as 14 points ...

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We've written a lot of about win probability charts here, from the Falcons blowing a lead to the Cowboys to the Warriors blowing a 31-point lead to the 49ers' Super Bowl collapse against the Chiefs.

Win probability Charts for NFL games generally don’t include dramatic rises or falls. Then again, we’ve never seen a game like the Chiefs’ 51-31 win over the Houston Texans in Sunday’s AFC Divisional ...

An ESPN story notes that bookmakers across the country say more than $10 million shifted after the Chiefs coughed up a fourth-quarter lead and lost 35-32 to the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Most of the ...

The Titans' chances of pulling off a stunning upset against the Dolphins seemed dead in the water after a couple of key fourth-quarter turnovers. The first came when Eric Garror inexplicably muffed a ...

If we convert this spread into a probability of recession twelve months ahead using the probit model described earlier (estimated with Treasury data from January 1959 to December 2005), we can match ...