We got another labor market indicator on Wednesday ahead of Friday’s jobs report. According to ADP, the private sector added 152,000 jobs in May. That’s fewer than were added in April, so a bit of a ...
January jobs report beats expectations, indicating accelerating momentum in the labor market. The market's reaction to the strong jobs report shows a shift in sentiment towards a more positive ...
The surprise for 2018 will be how little inflation will rise. Markets are building a house of cards on plans for inflation to return as they bet on a return of the Phillips curve. The anticipated ...
New data covering the period since May 2023 have continued to follow the path of a nonlinear Phillips curve that shows the relationship between inflation and a particular measure of labor market slack ...
Repeat after me, class: Growth does NOT cause inflation. Write it on the blackboard 100 times. For decades, the economics profession has been trying to tell us all just the opposite. They keep ...
New Mexico’s ‘Free’ Child Care an Attempt to Cover for Past Failures Don’t Cry for Argentina Higher inflation does not mean lower unemployment. Many assertions about monetary policy are based on the ...