The Miami office of the National Weather Service noted that ... an uptick from earlier in the day. The hurricane center is also watching a tropical disturbance near Florida. As of Tuesday afternoon, its chances of formation had risen — a 30% shot at ...

The National Hurricane Center forecasts Tropical Storm Rafael to grow into the season’s 11th hurricane Tuesday as it moves toward Cuba with winds and storm surge expected to affect the Florida Keys this week.

Tropical Storm Rafael has strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane as it swirled past Jamaica and chugged toward western Cuba.