One of college football’s greatest rivalries returns after more than a decade as Texas and Texas A&M reunite, and with plenty on the line. Here’s the latest prediction for the matchup from an expert analytical football model that simulates games.

The Wolverines are overmatched, but well-prepared, playing their third top-five team of the season in their version of this season’s championship game. Ohio State is 0-5 against the spread as a favorite of a touchdown or more against Michigan since 2013.